Wednesday, November 7, 2012

2012 Presidential Election Summary

The election results from last night can single nothing but a rousing endorsement of Obama's policies and a democrat controlled Senate that hasn't passed a budget in 4 years.  I'm not being sarcastic in this statement.  In 2008, I felt that the nation elected Obama because they didn't know any better.  While I want to blame the media, that doesn't excuse, what I feel is a lack of responsibility of the people in understanding what Obama has done over the last 4 years and what he plans on doing over the next 4.  The fact that Obama was elected tells me that we have truly and knowingly crossed the tipping point whereby one segment of the population votes themselves a portion of wealth from another segment of the population.  This type of government has come around in the past through force and revolution, always to disastrous results.  America however, has shown its true sophistication by ushering in the same type of revolution without firing a single shot.  I always wanted to vacation in Venezuela or Cuba, but now those two countries are visiting me.

This elections is not without lessons learned.  I have now come to realize that I live in a conservative bubble with very few liberal influences.  In my bubble, liberals are all the folks in the media that sacrifice truth in reporting for party allegiance.  Surely the people see through such things.  But I was wrong.  Outside of my bubble, the people not only believed the media, they wanted to believe it.

I have also learned that the source of information for me only perpetuates the limitations of my bubble.  While I can look to foxnews, the drugereport, Limbaugh, and Hannity to report stories I will never hear in the mainstream media, the opinions they offer only reinforce my bubble.  The evidence of this is in my results prediction I offered on Monday.  I couldn’t be any more wrong.  But not only am I wrong, but all of those pundits that criticized the polls and offered predictions as lofty as mine were wrong.  The polls ended up being right.  

What I am taking away from this experience is going to be a process of change in my life.  While none of my guiding principles is changing, where I choose to expend energy will.  I am not going to engage in political debates.  I am not going to use facebook as a sounding board for my politics and criticisms of Obama.  I’m not going to use my blog as a rant against the left.  What I am going to do is try to be purposeful in filling this void and finding other areas to target this energy.  I would like to offer one final political statement.  What kind of results do Republicans expect when their candidates campaign headquarters is located in the most liberal city in one of the most liberal states for which the candidate was once Governor.   My deep sorrow is that we once again did not have a true contrast between conservative and liberal to vote on. 

Monday, November 5, 2012

2012 Presidential Election Results Prediction. Romney 52 - Obama 47



I don’t want to be timid.  I want to test my political acumen by offering a prediction on the 2012 Presidential race between Barrak Obama and Mitt Romney.  I’m going to say that tomorrow will be a landslide victory for Romney, or let me put it more accurately, a landslide victory against Obama.   I offer this opinion for posterity for my kids and for a few of my friends (Kansasbob).  Here are the reasons why

1.      Signage: I know it isn’t scientific, but there is a total lack of enthusiasm for Obama.  I don’t see many signs out at all.  Even though Missouri didn’t go for Obama in 2008, there was still enthusiasm.  That could be a sign of a lack of interest in signs altogether, but I think not.  Similarly, there is a lack of signage for Romney.  I think, as is in my case, that this is due to this election cycle being more about Obama losing than it is about Romney winning.
2.      Enthusiasm in 2010:  There was a major swing in enthusiasm against the Obama policies and a lack of enthusiasm for them.  I don’t think this has changed in 2 years.
3.      The Debates:  Every election, we see the republican candidate look like a stunned deer as a democrat suavester woo’s the media.  This time the media was shocked as their own candidate was the stunned one, and when he tried to rebound in later debates, it was too aggressive too late.   For all those sitting on the fence.  Romney needed only to ease their fears that the way the media portrayed him wasn’t accurate.  Once that was done, it didn’t matter what happened in the other two debates, the independents were flipped to Romney.
4.      You can cover up, by you can’t hide:  In 2008, few people knew who Obama really was.  They could make him whatever they wanted.  After 4 years of policy under his belt, the best efforts of the media could no longer hide who Obama really is.  Obama is an angry man that view America with contempt.  He views elections as a method of getting “revenge” on those that disagree with him.
5.      The Polls:  I just read a story about how the USS Enterprise is being retired because after 50 years of service, there just aren’t enough parts to keep her operable.  Similarly, the method of polling has now become out of date.  Fewer and fewer people have a listed, non-robo call blocked, home phone.   I am one of those people.  What demographic maintains home phones and how does that affect polling.  Additionally, the polls themselves are so controversial that their reliability is now being discounted wholesale.

This is my prediction and I stand by it.   Then again, I predicted Obama would lose in 2008, although not the day before the election, more like the year before the election.  I knew he would win come the day before.